Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 110.971338 122.739685 134.822925 148.130021 162.346600 177.053569 193.391126
2025-04-06 91.821421 109.311397 128.176753 149.919776 174.168366 200.263926 230.352353
2025-04-13 77.064810 98.382319 122.455135 151.355517 184.809601 222.027435 266.266119
2025-04-20 67.536364 91.914927 120.602124 156.286109 198.912520 247.647704 307.010917
2025-04-27 59.274315 85.753516 118.139857 159.747980 210.858017 270.694313 345.113295
2025-05-04 53.153882 81.382609 117.146354 164.430094 223.935395 295.019545 384.982010
2025-05-11 47.444251 76.788367 115.248905 167.487739 234.711614 316.496175 421.623812
2025-05-18 39.254419 67.831434 106.788514 161.336646 233.283958 322.568850 439.266450
2025-05-25 33.458838 61.535753 101.243628 158.404319 235.471822 332.787738 461.827787
2025-06-01 29.336490 57.202291 97.968336 158.131827 240.835164 346.857671 489.193368
2025-06-08 26.345303 54.246002 96.349051 159.888327 248.737153 364.145530 520.742382
2025-06-15 24.947704 53.679953 98.122122 166.371765 263.072029 389.944490 563.490207
2025-06-22 22.867757 51.812443 97.880759 170.044225 273.811002 411.479383 601.473390
2025-06-29 20.298001 48.794036 95.632647 170.627673 280.214445 427.359030 632.368323
2025-07-06 18.069420 46.101224 93.666705 171.457516 286.886486 443.639398 663.984034
2025-07-13 16.867682 45.180892 94.469255 176.438367 299.529715 468.154847 706.807422
2025-07-20 15.525676 43.809800 94.394318 179.991960 310.116731 489.967190 746.263719
2025-07-27 14.550796 43.047758 95.258305 184.967927 322.806338 514.785372 789.986917
2025-08-03 13.395216 41.750657 95.082186 188.227500 332.969270 536.193857 829.318908
2025-08-10 10.960228 37.268009 88.914755 181.506777 327.973447 536.224096 839.486558
2025-08-17 9.295024 34.221605 85.060778 178.299504 328.051994 543.252573 859.161469
2025-08-24 8.162105 32.250559 83.036290 177.993606 332.466068 556.420589 887.364793
2025-08-31 7.381200 31.037070 82.357924 179.899138 340.280756 574.516781 922.553924